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Putin on a brink to order a full scale war in Europe, causing a huge refugee crisis Fox News has learned Putin has in place 70 percent of the military forces he would need for a full invasion. The number of Russian battalion tactical groups (BTG) on the border has increased to 83 up from 60 battalions just two weeks ago. 14 more are in transit. 30,000 Russian troops are in Belarus - a 50 mile drive to Kiev from the Belarus border. Those tanks and vehicles would likely move through Chernobyl en route to Kiev – a quick drive. The ground is expected to be at peak freeze on February 15. The expected casualty toll from a full Russian invasion, according to experts, an estimated 5 to 25,000 Ukrainian troops killed or wounded, 4000 Russian troops killed and an estimated 25 - 50,000 civilian casualties - along with 1 to 5 million refugees and IDPs into Europe. Putin has also shifted his strategic nuclear exercises to mid February from the fall, raising alarm bells among Russia watchers.