ArizonaGraph1

If election forecasting were a game of Blackjack, and the dealer had his one card face up-And that card was showing 409,000 more Trump votes than in 2016, and you saw a graph like this showing the GOP flat but still winning Arizona in every election of the high-turnout era (2004 to present) -*How much money would you have bet on Trump holding Arizona?*For sake of back of napkin math, Obama gain was 141k and Clinton's was 136k.